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Hull City vs Everton Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Hull City welcome Everton to the MKM Stadium on 11 October 2026 in a Premier League clash between two sides who have started the campaign solidly and sit next to each other in the early table. With Hull on 8 points and Everton on 9 after five matches, this looks like a genuine six-pointer in the battle for the upper half of the standings.

The hosts have adapted well to life in the top flight, taking 8 points from 5 games with a positive goal difference and three clean sheets already. Everton, unbeaten so far, have been slightly more robust defensively and arrive as narrow favourites with the bookmakers, but their away form – two draws from two – suggests this Hull City vs Everton prediction is far from straightforward.

Played at the MKM Stadium in Hull, this fixture also carries historical intrigue: Everton have generally had the better of recent head-to-heads, but Hull’s home defensive record this season makes this a compelling tactical battle for punters and neutrals alike.

Hull City vs Everton Key Stats

  • Hull City are 8th with 8 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 6 and conceding 4.
  • Everton are 7th with 9 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 3.
  • In the last meeting at the MKM Stadium (FA Cup, 8 January 2022), Everton beat Hull City 3-2 after extra time.
  • Both teams have kept 3 clean sheets in their 5 Premier League fixtures this season (tournament statistics).

Hull City vs Everton — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 8 vs 7
  • Points: 8 vs 9
  • Goals For: 6 vs 6
  • Goals Against: 4 vs 3
  • Clean Sheets: Hull City 3, Everton 3 (tournament statistics across 5 matches each)

After five rounds, there is almost nothing between these sides on paper. Hull City have taken 8 points from 5 games with a goal difference of +2, built on a watertight home record: 2 matches at the MKM Stadium, 1 win, 1 draw, and no goals conceded. Everton sit just above them on 9 points, still unbeaten with 2 wins and 3 draws, and a slightly better goal difference of +3.

Hull’s overall tally of 6 goals for and 4 against from 5 matches mirrors Everton’s 6 scored, but the visitors have conceded only 3. Everton have been more productive at home (5 goals in 3 games) than away (1 goal in 2), while Hull’s attack is evenly split between home and away. With both sides averaging 1.2 goals scored per game and conceding under a goal per match (0.8 for Hull, 0.6 for Everton), this shapes up as a tight contest where fine margins in both boxes could decide it.

Hull City vs Everton Key Matchups

M. Belloumi vs J. Garner

Hull City’s standout attacking threat so far has been M. Belloumi. The Algerian attacker has 2 goals and 2 assists in 5 Premier League appearances, directly contributing to two-thirds of Hull’s 6 goals. He has taken 13 shots (5 on target), created 5 key passes, and averages a solid rating of 7.14. His work rate is notable too, with 16 tackles and 9 interceptions, underlining his importance in both phases.

Everton’s midfield anchor J. Garner provides a different kind of influence. While he has yet to score or assist, he has completed 189 passes with an impressive 90% accuracy and 4 key passes, showing his role in ball circulation and progression. Defensively he has 11 tackles, 3 blocks, and 3 interceptions, plus 5 fouls drawn, indicating his presence in midfield duels. This matchup pits Belloumi’s creativity and end product against Garner’s control and defensive reading; whoever wins this battle could tilt the midfield balance.

O. McBurnie vs Everton’s centre-backs

O. McBurnie has yet to find the net in 5 appearances, but his profile suggests he is central to Hull’s attacking structure. He has 10 shots (3 on target) and 1 assist, but his main value lies in his physical presence: 90 duels contested with 43 won, plus 11 fouls drawn. He also has 3 yellow cards, showing how combative he is in leading the line.

Everton’s defensive unit, featuring experienced centre-backs such as J. Tarkowski and M. Keane in the squad list, will have to handle McBurnie’s aerial and physical threat. Hull’s preference for a 5-4-1 formation across 5 matches suggests they rely on him as a focal point to bring midfielders like Belloumi into play. If Everton can limit McBurnie’s ability to win duels and draw fouls, they can disrupt Hull’s direct route to goal.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These clubs have met regularly over the past decade, with Everton generally having the upper hand, particularly at Goodison Park. However, Hull have produced some strong home displays in this fixture, including clean-sheet wins.

  • 8 January 2022: Hull City 2-3 Everton (AET, FA Cup)
  • 18 March 2017: Everton 4-0 Hull City (Premier League)
  • 30 December 2016: Hull City 2-2 Everton (Premier League)
  • 1 January 2015: Hull City 2-0 Everton (Premier League)
  • 3 December 2014: Everton 1-1 Hull City (Premier League)

Hull City vs Everton Prediction

Stats suggest a very evenly matched encounter. Hull’s recent form line of LDDWW in the standings shows they started with two wins but have since drawn twice and lost once, yet their defensive base remains strong, especially at home with 2 clean sheets from 2. Everton’s WDDDW sequence underlines their resilience: unbeaten, hard to break down, but also drawing more than they win.

Attacking metrics are similar – both average 1.2 goals per game – but Everton’s defence edges it, conceding 0.6 goals per match compared to Hull’s 0.8. The comparison model leans slightly towards Everton overall, and the prediction probabilities give Hull just a 10% chance of victory, with a 45% chance of a draw and 45% for an Everton win. That points to Everton as favourites on a “win or draw” basis, but also highlights the high likelihood of a stalemate.

Given both teams’ low-scoring profiles, strong clean-sheet records, and Everton’s tendency to draw away, a tight, tactical game with limited chances feels likely. Hull’s home solidity should prevent Everton from running away with it, while Everton’s superior defensive numbers may just keep Hull’s key creators at arm’s length.

Predicted Score: Hull City 1-1 Everton

Hull City Recent Form

Hull City’s Premier League form reads LDDWW, reflecting a side that began strongly with back-to-back wins before levelling off with two draws and a defeat. Across 5 matches they have scored 6 goals and conceded 4, with 3 clean sheets. At the MKM Stadium they have been particularly solid: 1 win, 1 draw, 2 goals scored and none conceded, suggesting a defensively disciplined, compact approach in front of their own fans.

Everton Recent Form

Everton’s recent Premier League form of WDDDW underlines their status as one of the division’s early unbeaten sides. In 5 matches they have 2 wins and 3 draws, scoring 6 and conceding only 3. At home they have been more expansive (5 goals for, 2 against), while away from Goodison Park they have drawn both games, scoring 1 and conceding 1. That away pattern supports expectations of another cautious, low-scoring outing.

Hull City Possible Starting Lineup

GK: J. Butland; Defenders: S. Ajayi, J. Egan, P. McNair, R. Giles, M. Targett; Midfielders: M. Crooks, H. Morita, E. Matazo, A. Ömür; Forwards: O. McBurnie, M. Belloumi, S. Thomas.

Hull have consistently used a 5-4-1 shape in their 5 league fixtures, indicating a back five with wing-backs and a lone striker. With three clean sheets already, the defensive core featuring experienced names like J. Butland in goal and centre-backs such as S. Ajayi and J. Egan looks settled. In midfield, workers like M. Crooks and H. Morita can screen the defence, while creative players such as A. Ömür and M. Belloumi provide the link to the attack. Up front, O. McBurnie’s physical presence gives them an outlet for long balls and crosses, supported by wide forwards like S. Thomas.

Everton Possible Starting Lineup

GK: J. Pickford; Defenders: J. Branthwaite, J. Tarkowski, M. Keane, V. Mykolenko; Midfielders: J. Garner, C. Nørgaard, K. Dewsbury-Hall, J. Grealish; Forwards: B. Johnson, T. Barry.

Everton have mostly lined up in a 4-2-3-1 across 4 of their 5 matches, occasionally switching to a 4-1-4-1. That suggests a back four with two deeper midfielders and a trio of attacking midfielders behind a lone striker. J. Pickford offers stability in goal, while J. Tarkowski and M. Keane bring aerial dominance and experience at centre-back. In midfield, J. Garner’s passing accuracy and defensive numbers make him key to controlling the tempo, potentially alongside C. Nørgaard. Creative options like J. Grealish and K. Dewsbury-Hall can supply runners such as B. Johnson and T. Barry in the final third.

Hull City Team News

No significant absences reported.

Everton Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Hull City:

  • None reported.

Everton:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Hull City vs Everton

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Everton Draw No Bet / Double Chance (Draw or Everton). With the prediction probabilities giving Everton a 45% chance to win and only 10% for Hull, plus Everton’s unbeaten WDDDW form, siding with the visitors with some insurance makes sense. Everton are priced between 2.00 and 2.10 for the outright away win in the match-winner market (implied probability roughly 47.6% to 50%), reflecting their status as narrow favourites.
  • Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. Both teams average 1.2 goals scored per match and concede fewer than 1 per game, and the advisory angle already leans towards a low-scoring contest. Hull’s two home matches have produced just 2 goals total, while Everton’s five league games have seen only 9 goals combined. With the predictions advice explicitly tying a double chance to under 3.5 goals, this looks a logical angle if such a line is offered in the goal markets.
  • Value Tip: Draw in the match result market. The draw is rated at 45% in the prediction probabilities, identical to Everton’s win chance and far higher than Hull’s 10%. Yet bookmakers price the draw between 3.05 and 3.62 (implied probability roughly 27.6% to 32.8%), which is significantly below that 45% assessment. Given Everton’s three draws in five matches and both of their away games ending level, the stalemate offers potential value at those odds.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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