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Everton vs Ipswich Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Everton welcome Ipswich to Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool on 19 September 2026 in a Premier League clash that already has the feel of an early-season six-pointer in the mid-table pack. Both sides sit on 6 points after four matches, with Everton slightly ahead on goal difference and still unbeaten, while Ipswich have mixed eye-catching attacking displays with defensive frailty.

For Everton, this is an opportunity to consolidate a solid start: ninth place, one win and three draws, and just three goals conceded. At home they have been reliable, scoring four times in two outings and yet to lose in front of their own fans. Ipswich, in 10th, have been far more volatile — two wins and two defeats, with seven goals scored but a worrying 10 conceded. With the betting markets and predictive models shading this towards the hosts, this Everton vs Ipswich prediction focuses on whether Ipswich’s high-risk, high-reward style can unsettle a defensively disciplined Everton side.

Everton vs Ipswich Key Stats

  • Everton are unbeaten in the Premier League this season (1 win, 3 draws), scoring 5 and conceding 3 across 4 matches.
  • The last two head-to-head meetings both in the Premier League saw Everton win 2-0 away on 19 October 2024 before a 2-2 draw at Goodison Park on 3 May 2025.
  • Season statistics show Everton averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Ipswich average 1.8 scored but 2.5 conceded across 4 league games.

Everton vs Ipswich — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 9 vs 10
  • Points: 6 vs 6
  • Goals For: 5 vs 7
  • Goals Against: 3 vs 10
  • Clean Sheets: Everton 2, Ipswich 0 (league statistics, 4 matches each)

Despite sitting side by side in the table, the profiles of these two teams are very different. Everton’s 6 points have come from a pragmatic base: one win and three draws, with only 3 goals conceded in 4 matches and two clean sheets already in the league. Their goal difference of +2 reflects a side that rarely gets blown away and tends to keep games tight.

Ipswich, also on 6 points, are far more extreme. They have scored 7 times but shipped 10, leaving them with a goal difference of -3. Away from home they have both won and lost, scoring 5 and conceding 7 in just two road games. Over 4 matches, Ipswich’s average of 2.5 goals conceded per game versus Everton’s 0.8 underlines the central tactical battle: Ipswich’s expansive, attacking approach against Everton’s controlled, defensively solid structure.

Everton vs Ipswich Key Matchups

J. Garner vs Emersonn

James Garner has been a central figure for Everton in midfield, and his discipline without the ball could be crucial against Ipswich’s main attacking threat, Emersonn. Garner has played 4 league matches, starting 3 and logging 240 minutes, with 11 tackles, 2 interceptions and 16 duels won from 27 — strong numbers for a midfielder tasked with screening the back line. He has also completed 128 passes at an impressive 90% accuracy, underlining his importance in Everton’s build-up and control phases.

Emersonn, meanwhile, is emerging as Ipswich’s most dangerous forward. In 4 appearances (all starts) and 240 minutes, he has scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist, with 6 shots (3 on target) and 4 key passes. His 7.36 average rating and 5 fouls drawn show he is not only a finisher but also someone who constantly asks questions of defenders. The duel between Garner’s positional intelligence and Emersonn’s movement and direct threat could dictate whether Ipswich can penetrate Everton’s well-organised shape.

J. Garner vs A. Fatawu

A second key battle again features Garner, this time against Ipswich winger/midfielder A. Fatawu, who brings dynamism and risk on the flanks. Fatawu has made 4 appearances and 290 minutes, with 1 assist and 7 key passes from 60 total passes, but his real impact comes in duels and dribbles: 60 duels contested with 28 won, plus 18 dribble attempts with 10 successful. Those numbers point to a player who relentlessly drives at defenders and midfielders.

However, Fatawu also walks a disciplinary tightrope. He has already collected 2 yellow cards and committed 8 fouls, while drawing 6. With Garner also on 2 yellow cards and known for his combative edge (4 fouls committed, 5 drawn), this midfield/wing channel could be a flashpoint. If Everton can funnel Fatawu into crowded central areas where Garner excels in duels, they can blunt one of Ipswich’s main creative outlets.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides met twice in the Premier League during the 2024 campaign, with Everton enjoying the better of the series but Ipswich showing they can compete.

  • 3 May 2025: Everton 2-2 Ipswich (Premier League)
  • 19 October 2024: Ipswich 0-2 Everton (Premier League)

Everton vs Ipswich Prediction

Recent trends suggest a clash of styles. Everton’s league form of one win and three draws is built on control: they average 1.3 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded, with two clean sheets and no defeats in four matches. Ipswich, by contrast, are more chaotic — two wins and two losses, 7 scored and 10 conceded, and no clean sheets. Their attacking metrics are strong, but defensive numbers are fragile, especially away where they concede an average of 3.5 goals per match.

Probability indicators give Everton the edge but also point strongly towards a tight contest. The win probabilities stand at 45% for an Everton win, 45% for the draw and just 10% for an Ipswich victory. Comparison indices further back the hosts defensively, with Everton well ahead on the defensive index and leading the overall comparison, while Ipswich edge the attacking metrics. With no reliable numerical goal prediction available, the most reasonable call is a narrow Everton success in a match where Ipswich threaten but struggle to keep the door shut at the back.

Predicted Score: Everton 2-1 Ipswich

Everton Recent Form

Everton’s recent Premier League form reads as a steady, unbeaten sequence: one win followed by three draws. Across these 4 league games they have scored 5 goals and conceded only 3, keeping 2 clean sheets. At home they have been particularly effective, winning once and drawing once, scoring 4 and conceding 2. The pattern is of a side difficult to beat, with late goals featuring prominently in their scoring profile.

Ipswich Recent Form

Ipswich’s recent Premier League form has been more up-and-down, with two wins and two defeats. Over 4 matches they have scored 7 goals but conceded 10, underlining both their attacking ambition and defensive vulnerability. Away from home they have one win and one loss, with 5 goals scored and 7 conceded, suggesting that while they can hurt opponents on the road, they also leave significant spaces to exploit.

Everton Possible Starting Lineup

Potential key players for Everton (by position):
Goalkeepers: J. Pickford, T. King, M. Travers;
Defenders: J. Tarkowski, J. Branthwaite, M. Keane, V. Mykolenko, A. Maitland-Niles, J. O'Brien, G. Finney, W. Tamen;
Midfielders: J. Garner, K. Dewsbury-Hall, C. Nørgaard, J. Grealish, C. Alcaraz, H. Hackney, M. Röhl, B. Johnson, H. Armstrong, H. Foster, Malik Olayiwola, Tyrique George;
Forwards: T. Barry, T. Dibling, B. Graham.

Everton have consistently used a 4-2-3-1 shape in the league, and the squad composition fits that structure well: solid central defenders like J. Tarkowski and J. Branthwaite, energetic full-backs such as V. Mykolenko or A. Maitland-Niles, and a midfield platform built around J. Garner and technical options like K. Dewsbury-Hall or C. Nørgaard. In attack, players such as T. Barry and T. Dibling provide width and direct running. With no confirmed absences, Everton should be able to field a balanced XI that prioritises defensive solidity while exploiting Ipswich’s open back line.

Ipswich Possible Starting Lineup

Potential key players for Ipswich (by position):
Goalkeepers: A. Palmer, K. Scherpen, C. Walton, D. Button, Alex Noonan;
Defenders: L. Davis, I. Diop, D. Furlong, J. Greaves, C. Kipré, D. O'Shea, A. Ouattara;
Midfielders: J. Enciso, Florentino, S. Lukić, A. Matusiwa, M. Núñez, E. Palacios, J. Taylor, C. Compton, A. Fatawu, K. McAteer, A. Mehmeti, J. Philogene;
Forwards: Emersonn, Z. Flemming, C. Akpom, J. Clarke, S. Egeli, D. Maeda.

Ipswich have also favoured a 4-2-3-1 in their league fixtures, built around the creativity of J. Enciso and the finishing of Emersonn, with wide threats like A. Fatawu and J. Philogene. The back line features experienced defenders such as I. Diop, D. Furlong and L. Davis, but the team’s defensive record suggests the midfield shield and defensive organisation are still a work in progress. Expect Ipswich to remain bold, committing numbers forward and trusting their attacking talent, which in turn could leave them vulnerable to Everton counters and late surges.

Everton Team News

No significant absences reported.

Ipswich Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Everton:

  • None reported.

Ipswich:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Everton vs Ipswich

Below are three data-backed betting angles for this Premier League clash.

  • Result Tip: Everton to win. With a 45% implied win probability from the prediction model versus just 10% for Ipswich, plus Everton’s unbeaten start and superior defensive metrics, the hosts look well placed. The market prices Everton between 1.73 and 1.82, implying roughly a 54.9%–57.8% chance of a home win, which aligns with their strong defensive record and Ipswich’s defensive issues.
  • Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Ipswich matches have averaged 4.3 total goals (7 scored, 10 conceded in 4 games), and Everton’s fixtures sit at 2 goals per match on average. The prediction advice also leans towards a goals angle with a focus on more than 1.5 goals. While specific over/under odds for this line are not listed, combining Ipswich’s leaky defence with their potent attack suggests at least two goals is a reasonable expectation.
  • Value Tip: Draw as a cover option. The draw is priced between 3.37 and 3.98 across bookmakers, implying roughly a 25.1%–29.7% chance. The prediction model gives the draw a 45% probability, significantly higher than the market range. With Everton drawing three of four league games and Ipswich capable of scoring, the stalemate offers potential value as a secondary angle, especially for bettors looking to oppose short home odds without backing the underdog outright.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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